The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?

2 venues · 37 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

9 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Google

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Google

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

19.1%

Bid 11.4% · Ask 26.7%

Google

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 17.1 pp

Alibaba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alibaba

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

Open Polymarket ↗

Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 78.0%

Anthropic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Baidu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Baidu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Black Forest Labs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

Black Forest Labs

Open Polymarket ↗

ByteDance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

ByteDance

Open Polymarket ↗

Company A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Company M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Company M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

DeepSeek

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

DeepSeek

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

HiDream

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

HiDream

Open Polymarket ↗

KlingAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

KlingAI

Open Polymarket ↗

Lightricks

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Lightricks

Open Polymarket ↗

Luma AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Luma AI

Open Polymarket ↗

MiniMax

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

72.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 73.0%

MiniMax

Open Polymarket ↗

Moonshot AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Moonshot AI

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

OpenAI

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pika

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4%

Pika

Open Polymarket ↗

Pixverse

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Pixverse

Open Polymarket ↗

Pruna

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Pruna

Open Polymarket ↗

Runway

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Runway

Open Polymarket ↗

Shengshu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2%

Shengshu

Open Polymarket ↗

SpaceXAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.7%

SpaceXAI

Open Polymarket ↗

Tencent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Tencent

Open Polymarket ↗

xAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

xAI

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Z.ai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Z.ai

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.