Market comparison
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
2 venues · 37 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $1.2M reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket
Open venue ↗31 outcomes · $48K reported volume
Observed 28s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Google Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 79.0 pp | ||
OpenAI Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 11.8 pp | ||
Alibaba Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Anthropic Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Baidu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
ByteDance Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company A Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company B Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company J Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company K Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company L Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company M Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DeepSeek Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Genmo AI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kandinsky Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
KlingAI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Lightricks Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Luma AI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Meta Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
MiniMax Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Moonshot AI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pika Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pixverse Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Pruna Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Runway Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
SpaceXAI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tencent Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
xAI Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Z.ai Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 79.0 pp
OpenAI
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 11.8 pp
Alibaba
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Anthropic
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Baidu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
ByteDance
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company A
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company B
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company J
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company K
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company L
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Company M
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
DeepSeek
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Genmo AI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Kandinsky
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
KlingAI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Lightricks
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Luma AI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Meta
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
MiniMax
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Moonshot AI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Pika
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Pixverse
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Pruna
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Runway
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
SpaceXAI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Tencent
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
xAI
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Z.ai
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.