Market comparison

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

4 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
China Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0% China Open Polymarket ↗	—
Israel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 24.0% Israel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Russia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0% Russia Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sudan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 2.5% · Ask 14.2% Sudan Open Polymarket ↗	—

China

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0%

China

Open Polymarket ↗

Israel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 24.0%

Israel

Open Polymarket ↗

Russia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0%

Russia

Open Polymarket ↗

Sudan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 14.2%

Sudan

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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