Market comparison

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

1 venue · 9 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

9 outcomes · $49K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 4, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Abdul El-Sayed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0% Abdul El-Sayed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Angie Nixon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Angie Nixon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chris Pappas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0% Chris Pappas Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Jolly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% David Jolly Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kathy Hochul Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 45.0% Kathy Hochul Open Kalshi ↗	—
Keisha Lance Bottoms Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 38.0% Keisha Lance Bottoms Open Kalshi ↗	—
Peggy Flanagan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0% Peggy Flanagan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tina Kotek Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 97.0% Tina Kotek Open Kalshi ↗	—
Troy Jackson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 86.0% Troy Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	—

Abdul El-Sayed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0%

Abdul El-Sayed

Open Kalshi ↗

Angie Nixon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Angie Nixon

Open Kalshi ↗

Chris Pappas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0%

Chris Pappas

Open Kalshi ↗

David Jolly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

David Jolly

Open Kalshi ↗

Kathy Hochul

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 45.0%

Kathy Hochul

Open Kalshi ↗

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 38.0%

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Open Kalshi ↗

Peggy Flanagan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

Peggy Flanagan

Open Kalshi ↗

Tina Kotek

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 97.0%

Tina Kotek

Open Kalshi ↗

Troy Jackson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 86.0%

Troy Jackson

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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