The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

2 venues · 12 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $275K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

6 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

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Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 68.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 50.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hodge Conjecture

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0%

Hodge Conjecture

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

No solution by Dec 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0%

No solution by Dec 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

P versus NP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.1%

P versus NP

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Riemann Hypothesis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.9%

Riemann Hypothesis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yang-Mills

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.9% · Ask 9.2%

Yang-Mills

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.