Market comparison

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

1 venue · 27 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

27 outcomes · $1.8M reported volume

Observed 7s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Abbas Araghchi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Abbas Araghchi · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbas Araghchi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Abbas Araghchi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ahmad Vahidi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.4% Ahmad Vahidi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 9.4% · Ask 10.0% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.4% Elon Musk Open Polymarket ↗	—
Esmail Qaani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.3% Esmail Qaani Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ishaq Dar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Ishaq Dar Open Polymarket ↗	—
J.D. Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% J.D. Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Jared Kushner · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0% Jared Kushner Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kazem Gharibabadi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Kazem Gharibabadi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Majid Takht-Ravanchi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Majid Takht-Ravanchi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Marco Rubio Open Polymarket ↗	—
Masoud Pezeshkian Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Masoud Pezeshkian Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.6% Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mohammed bin Salman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9% Mohammed bin Salman Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mojtaba Khamenei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 1.8% · Ask 3.0% Mojtaba Khamenei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Newt Gingrich Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.3% Newt Gingrich Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nick Stewart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0% Nick Stewart Open Polymarket ↗	—
Palmer Luckey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9% Palmer Luckey Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Pete Hegseth Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rafael Grossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Rafael Grossi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steve Witkoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Steve Witkoff · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steve Witkoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0% Steve Witkoff Open Polymarket ↗	—

Abbas Araghchi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Abbas Araghchi · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbas Araghchi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Abbas Araghchi

Open Polymarket ↗

Ahmad Vahidi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.4%

Ahmad Vahidi

Open Polymarket ↗

Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.7%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 10.0%

Donald Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.4%

Elon Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Esmail Qaani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.3%

Esmail Qaani

Open Polymarket ↗

Ishaq Dar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Ishaq Dar

Open Polymarket ↗

J.D. Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

J.D. Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

Jared Kushner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Jared Kushner · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Jared Kushner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 36.0%

Jared Kushner

Open Polymarket ↗

Kazem Gharibabadi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Kazem Gharibabadi

Open Polymarket ↗

Majid Takht-Ravanchi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%

Majid Takht-Ravanchi

Open Polymarket ↗

Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Polymarket ↗

Masoud Pezeshkian

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Masoud Pezeshkian

Open Polymarket ↗

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

Open Polymarket ↗

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.6%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

Open Polymarket ↗

Mohammed bin Salman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9%

Mohammed bin Salman

Open Polymarket ↗

Mojtaba Khamenei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 3.0%

Mojtaba Khamenei

Open Polymarket ↗

Newt Gingrich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.3%

Newt Gingrich

Open Polymarket ↗

Nick Stewart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Nick Stewart

Open Polymarket ↗

Palmer Luckey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9%

Palmer Luckey

Open Polymarket ↗

Pete Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Polymarket ↗

Rafael Grossi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Rafael Grossi

Open Polymarket ↗

Steve Witkoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Steve Witkoff · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Steve Witkoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Steve Witkoff

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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