Market comparison

Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 3 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $7K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Aug 7, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

43 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Sep 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Axel Kicillof Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	59.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 60.0% Axel Kicillof Open Kalshi ↗	59.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 68.0% Axel Kicillof Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Open Kalshi ↗	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Cristina Fernández de Kirchner Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Sergio Massa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Sergio Massa Open Kalshi ↗	21.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0% Sergio Massa Open Polymarket ↗	11.0 pp
Dante Gebel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Dante Gebel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Eduardo de Pedro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Eduardo de Pedro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gerardo Zamora Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Gerardo Zamora Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jorge Capitanich Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jorge Capitanich Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Juan Grabois Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Juan Grabois Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Máximo Kirchner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0% Máximo Kirchner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Person AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Person AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ricardo Quintela Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Ricardo Quintela Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sergio Uñac Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Sergio Uñac Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Axel Kicillof

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 60.0%

Axel Kicillof

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 68.0%

Axel Kicillof

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Sergio Massa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Sergio Massa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 26.0%

Sergio Massa

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 11.0 pp

Dante Gebel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Dante Gebel

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Eduardo de Pedro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Eduardo de Pedro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gerardo Zamora

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Gerardo Zamora

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jorge Capitanich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jorge Capitanich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Juan Grabois

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Juan Grabois

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Máximo Kirchner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Máximo Kirchner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Person AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ricardo Quintela

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ricardo Quintela

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sergio Uñac

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Sergio Uñac

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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