Market comparison

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?

1 venue · 8 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

8 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 3029h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Aug 8, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Billy Long Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Billy Long · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Brett Matsumoto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Brett Matsumoto Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casey Means Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Casey Means Open Kalshi ↗	—
David MacNeil Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old David MacNeil Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nicole Saphier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Nicole Saphier Open Kalshi ↗	—
Scott Bessent Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Scott Bessent Open Kalshi ↗	—
Stevan Pearce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Stevan Pearce · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Walter "Jay" Clayton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Walter "Jay" Clayton Open Kalshi ↗	—

Billy Long

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Billy Long · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Brett Matsumoto

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Brett Matsumoto

Open Kalshi ↗

Casey Means

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Casey Means

Open Kalshi ↗

David MacNeil

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

David MacNeil

Open Kalshi ↗

Nicole Saphier

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Nicole Saphier

Open Kalshi ↗

Scott Bessent

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Scott Bessent

Open Kalshi ↗

Stevan Pearce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Stevan Pearce · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Walter "Jay" Clayton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Walter "Jay" Clayton

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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