The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will be People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?

2 venues · 84 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

24 outcomes · $185K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

69 outcomes · $130K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Bad Bunny

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Bad Bunny

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.8%

Bad Bunny

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Connor Storrie

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Connor Storrie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Connor Storrie

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Hudson Williams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hudson Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Hudson Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Michael B. Jordan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Michael B. Jordan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.0%

Michael B. Jordan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Noah Wyle

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 87.0%

Noah Wyle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

85.5%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Noah Wyle

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Ryan Gosling

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ryan Gosling

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.0%

Ryan Gosling

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.4 pp

Timothée Chalamet

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Timothée Chalamet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.6%

Timothée Chalamet

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.3 pp

Travis Kelce

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Travis Kelce

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.6%

Travis Kelce

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Ali G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.6%

Ali G

Open Polymarket ↗

Chris Evans

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Chris Evans

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Clavicular

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.3%

Clavicular

Open Polymarket ↗

David Corenswet

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

David Corenswet

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Drake

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Drake

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Harry Styles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Harry Styles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jason Kelce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jason Kelce

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jensen Ackles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jensen Ackles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jimmy Garoppolo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jimmy Garoppolo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Josh Allen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Josh Allen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Matt Damon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Matt Damon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Oscar Isaac

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Oscar Isaac

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pedro Pascal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Pedro Pascal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Person 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 20 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 22 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 23 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 24 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 25 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 26 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 27 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 29 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 32

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 32 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 33

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 33 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 34

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 34 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 35

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 35 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 36

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 36 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 37

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 37 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 38

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 38 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 39

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 39 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 40 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 41

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 41 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 42

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 42 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 43

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 43 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 44

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 44 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 45

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 45 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 46

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 46 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 47

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 47 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 48

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 48 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 49

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 49 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 50 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 51

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 51 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 52

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 52 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 53

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 53 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 54

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 54 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 55

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 55 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 56

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 56 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 57

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 57 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 58

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 58 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 59

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 59 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Person 60

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Person 60 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Robert Pattinson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shawn Mendes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Shawn Mendes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tom Holland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tom Holland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tramell Tillman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tramell Tillman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zohran Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Zohran Mamdani

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.