Market comparison

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $1.0M reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $422K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alex Pereira Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.8% Alex Pereira Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Alex Pereira Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Azamat Murzakanov Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Azamat Murzakanov Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Azamat Murzakanov Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Carlos Ulberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	94.5% Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.0% Carlos Ulberg Open Polymarket ↗	95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 96.0% Carlos Ulberg Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Jamahal Hill Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.3% Jamahal Hill Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jamahal Hill Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Jan Błachowicz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Jan Błachowicz Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jan Błachowicz Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Jiří Procházka Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1% Jiří Procházka Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jiří Procházka Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Khalil Rountree Jr. Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8% Khalil Rountree Jr. Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Khalil Rountree Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Magomed Ankalaev Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.7% Magomed Ankalaev Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Magomed Ankalaev Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
Aleksandar Rakić Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Aleksandar Rakić Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bogdan Guskov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1% Bogdan Guskov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dominick Reyes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.3% Dominick Reyes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fighter G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Fighter G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Khamzat Chimaev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Khamzat Chimaev Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nikita Krylov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Nikita Krylov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Paulo Costa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Paulo Costa Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Volkan Oezdemir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Volkan Oezdemir Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Alex Pereira

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.8%

Alex Pereira

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Alex Pereira

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Azamat Murzakanov

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Azamat Murzakanov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Azamat Murzakanov

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Carlos Ulberg

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

94.5%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.0%

Carlos Ulberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 96.0%

Carlos Ulberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Jamahal Hill

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Jamahal Hill

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jamahal Hill

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Jan Błachowicz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Jan Błachowicz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jan Błachowicz

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Jiří Procházka

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.1%

Jiří Procházka

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jiří Procházka

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.8%

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Magomed Ankalaev

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.7%

Magomed Ankalaev

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Magomed Ankalaev

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Aleksandar Rakić

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Aleksandar Rakić

Open Kalshi ↗

Bogdan Guskov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1%

Bogdan Guskov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Dominick Reyes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Dominick Reyes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Fighter G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Fighter G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Khamzat Chimaev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Khamzat Chimaev

Open Kalshi ↗

Nikita Krylov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Nikita Krylov

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Paulo Costa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Paulo Costa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Volkan Oezdemir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Volkan Oezdemir

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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