Market comparison
Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗21 outcomes · $1.1M reported volume
Observed 35s ago
Observed 9m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028
Polymarket
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $38K reported volume
Observed 35s ago
Recorded venue end date: Feb 1, 2027
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Ant-Man Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Before Dec 18, 2026 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Captain America (Sam Wilson) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Doctor Doom Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Doctor Strange Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Loki Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Shang-Chi Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Spider-Man Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Steve Rogers Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Thor Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 28.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 90.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 90.0% Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Benedict Wong perform as Wong in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 52.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0% Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 25.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0% Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 61.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 63.0% Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 79.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 80.0% Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Halle Berry perform as Storm in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 93.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0% Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 74.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0% Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 47.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 47.0% Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Jonathan Majors perform as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Will Kathryn Newton perform as Cassie Lang in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Will Kathryn Newton perform as Cassie Lang in Avengers: Doomsday? · closed Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Mark Ruffalo perform as Hulk in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 93.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0% Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 81.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 82.0% Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 48.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday? Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | 55.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0% Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday? Open Kalshi ↗ | — | — |
Ant-Man
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Before Dec 18, 2026
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Captain America (Sam Wilson)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Doctor Doom
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Doctor Strange
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Loki
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Shang-Chi
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Spider-Man
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Steve Rogers
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Thor
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
28.0%
Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%
Will Andrew Garfield perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
90.0%
Bid 89.0% · Ask 90.0%
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Benedict Wong perform as Wong in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
52.0%
Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0%
Will Brie Larson perform as Captain Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
25.0%
Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0%
Will Don Cheadle perform as James Rhodes / War Machine in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
11.0%
Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%
Will Evangeline Lilly perform as the Wasp in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
61.0%
Bid 59.0% · Ask 63.0%
Will Gwyneth Paltrow perform as Pepper Potts in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
79.0%
Bid 79.0% · Ask 80.0%
Will Hailee Steinfeld perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Halle Berry perform as Storm in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
93.0%
Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0%
Will Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
74.0%
Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0%
Will Iman Vellani perform as Ms. Marvel in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
47.0%
Bid 43.0% · Ask 47.0%
Will Jon Favreau perform as Happy Hogan in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Jonathan Majors perform as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Will Kathryn Newton perform as Cassie Lang in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
97.0%
Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%
Will Kathryn Newton perform as Cassie Lang in Avengers: Doomsday? · closed
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Mark Ruffalo perform as Hulk in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
93.0%
Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0%
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
81.0%
Bid 78.0% · Ask 82.0%
Will Teyonah Parris perform as Monica Rambeau in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
48.0%
Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%
Will Tom Holland perform as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday?
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
55.0%
Bid 52.0% · Ask 55.0%
Will Xochitl Gomez perform as America Chavez in Avengers: Doomsday?
Open Kalshi ↗Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.