Market comparison

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $57.7M reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
0 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% 0 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0% 1 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% 2 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% 3 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.4% Bid 3.5% · Ask 11.3% 4+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
25 bps decrease Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% 25 bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
25 bps increase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% 25 bps increase Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
50+ bps decrease Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% 50+ bps decrease Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
50+ bps increase Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% 50+ bps increase Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Anna Paulson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Anna Paulson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Beth Hammack Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0% Beth Hammack Open Kalshi ↗	—
Christopher Waller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0% Christopher Waller Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jerome Powell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jerome Powell Open Kalshi ↗	—
John Williams Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% John Williams Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kevin Warsh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Kevin Warsh Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lisa Cook Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Lisa Cook Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lorie Logan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 52.0% Lorie Logan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Michael Barr Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Michael Barr Open Kalshi ↗	—
Michelle Bowman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Michelle Bowman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Neel Kashkari Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 47.0% Neel Kashkari Open Kalshi ↗	—
No change Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0% No change Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Philip Jefferson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Philip Jefferson Open Kalshi ↗	—

0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 17.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 11.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

25 bps decrease

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

25 bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

25 bps increase

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

25 bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

50+ bps decrease

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1%

50+ bps decrease

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

50+ bps increase

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

50+ bps increase

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Anna Paulson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Anna Paulson

Open Kalshi ↗

Beth Hammack

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0%

Beth Hammack

Open Kalshi ↗

Christopher Waller

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 10.0%

Christopher Waller

Open Kalshi ↗

Jerome Powell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Jerome Powell

Open Kalshi ↗

John Williams

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

John Williams

Open Kalshi ↗

Kevin Warsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kevin Warsh

Open Kalshi ↗

Lisa Cook

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Lisa Cook

Open Kalshi ↗

Lorie Logan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 52.0%

Lorie Logan

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael Barr

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Michael Barr

Open Kalshi ↗

Michelle Bowman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Michelle Bowman

Open Kalshi ↗

Neel Kashkari

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 47.0%

Neel Kashkari

Open Kalshi ↗

No change

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

91.5%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0%

No change

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Philip Jefferson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Philip Jefferson

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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