Market comparison

Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?

1 venue · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

3 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 20, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Kash Patel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0% Kash Patel Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pete Hegseth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 41.0% Pete Hegseth Open Kalshi ↗	—
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—

Kash Patel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0%

Kash Patel

Open Kalshi ↗

Pete Hegseth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 41.0%

Pete Hegseth

Open Kalshi ↗

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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