Market comparison

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

2 venues · 100 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

100 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Amir Ohana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Avigdor Lieberman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗	2.2 pp
Benjamin Netanyahu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	32.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	35.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 35.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Naftali Bennett Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.9% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Yair Golan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Yair Lapid Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.4% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Yair Lapid Open Kalshi ↗	1.7 pp
Ayelet Shaked Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Ayelet Shaked Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Benny Gantz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Benny Gantz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gadi Eisenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 55.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gadi Eizenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gideon Sa’ar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Gideon Sa’ar Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gilad Erdan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Gilad Erdan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Israel Katz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Itamar Ben Gvir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Moshe Feiglin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nir Barkat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Nir Barkat Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ofer Winter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 1 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 3 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 4 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 5 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 6 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 7 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 8 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 9 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 10 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 11 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 12 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 13 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 13 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 14 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 14 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 16 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 16 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 17 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 17 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 18 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 18 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 19 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 19 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 20 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 20 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 21 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 21 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 22 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 22 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 23 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 23 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 24 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 24 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 25 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 25 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 26 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 26 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 27 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 27 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 28 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 29 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 29 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 32 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 32 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 33 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 33 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 34 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 34 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 35 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 35 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 36 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 36 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 37 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 37 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 38 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 38 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 39 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 39 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 40 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 40 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 41 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 41 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 42 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 42 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 43 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 43 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 44 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 44 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 45 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 45 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 46 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 46 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 47 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 47 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 48 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 48 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 49 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 49 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 50 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 51 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 51 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 52 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 52 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 53 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 53 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 54 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 54 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 55 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 55 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 56 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 56 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 57 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 57 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 58 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 58 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 59 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 59 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 60 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 60 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 61 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 61 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 62 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 62 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 63 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 63 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 64 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 64 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 65 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 65 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 66 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 66 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 67 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 67 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 68 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 68 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 69 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 69 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 70 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 70 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 71 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 71 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 72 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 72 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 73 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 73 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 74 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 74 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 75 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 75 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 76 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 76 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 77 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 77 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 78 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 78 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 79 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 79 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Person 80 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Person 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yariv Levin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Yariv Levin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yoaz Hendel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yossi Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Yossi Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid — · Ask 1.0%

Amir Ohana

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amir Ohana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avigdor Lieberman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Naftali Bennett

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Golan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Lapid

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ayelet Shaked

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benny Gantz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eisenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gideon Sa’ar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gilad Erdan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Israel Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Itamar Ben Gvir

Polymarket

Kalshi

Moshe Feiglin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nir Barkat

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ofer Winter

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 1

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 2

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 3

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 4

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 5

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 6

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 7

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 8

Polymarket

Kalshi

Person 9

Polymarket