Market comparison

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

2 venues · 12 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $63K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $49K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Augusto Cury Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3% Augusto Cury Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Donald J. Trump Jr. Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Donald J. Trump Jr. Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flávio Bolsonaro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Flávio Bolsonaro Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Himself Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Himself Open Kalshi ↗	—
J.D. Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0% J.D. Vance Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3% Lula da Silva Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Marco Rubio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Marco Rubio Open Kalshi ↗	—
No one Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0% No one Open Kalshi ↗	—
Renan Santos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.7% Renan Santos Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Romeu Zema Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.9% Romeu Zema Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ron DeSantis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Ron DeSantis Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ronaldo Caiado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.7% Ronaldo Caiado Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Augusto Cury

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3%

Augusto Cury

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Donald J. Trump Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Donald J. Trump Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Flávio Bolsonaro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Himself

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Himself

Open Kalshi ↗

J.D. Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0%

J.D. Vance

Open Kalshi ↗

Lula da Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.3%

Lula da Silva

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Marco Rubio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Marco Rubio

Open Kalshi ↗

No one

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

No one

Open Kalshi ↗

Renan Santos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.7%

Renan Santos

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Romeu Zema

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.9%

Romeu Zema

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ron DeSantis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ron DeSantis

Open Kalshi ↗

Ronaldo Caiado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.7%

Ronaldo Caiado

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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