Market comparison

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

2 venues · 53 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

37 outcomes · $568K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

28 outcomes · $532K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bob Menendez Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.0% Bob Menendez Open Kalshi ↗	3.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.0% Bob Menendez Open Polymarket ↗	4.8 pp
Derek Chauvin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.5% Derek Chauvin Open Kalshi ↗	3.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.8% Derek Chauvin Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Edward Snowden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Edward Snowden Open Kalshi ↗	3.6% Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.9% Edward Snowden Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Elizabeth Holmes Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.1% Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.2% Elizabeth Holmes Open Kalshi ↗	5.5% Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.7% Elizabeth Holmes Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Eric Adams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.9% Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3% Eric Adams Open Kalshi ↗	2.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.1% Eric Adams Open Polymarket ↗	0.2 pp
Ghislaine Maxwell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 4.2% · Ask 11.0% Ghislaine Maxwell Open Kalshi ↗	4.3% Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.9% Ghislaine Maxwell Open Polymarket ↗	6.7 pp
Julian Assange Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.5% Julian Assange Open Kalshi ↗	3.6% Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.0% Julian Assange Open Polymarket ↗	1.4 pp
Keonne Rodriguez Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.3% Bid 7.3% · Ask 14.0% Keonne Rodriguez Open Kalshi ↗	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Keonne Rodriguez Open Polymarket ↗	3.2 pp
Martin Shkreli Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.9% Bid 2.5% · Ask 7.9% Martin Shkreli Open Kalshi ↗	3.2% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.4% Martin Shkreli Open Polymarket ↗	4.7 pp
Roger Ver Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 7.4% Roger Ver Open Kalshi ↗	5.3% Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.5% Roger Ver Open Polymarket ↗	1.7 pp
Sam Bankman-Fried Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Sam Bankman-Fried Open Kalshi ↗	3.3% Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.8% Sam Bankman-Fried Open Polymarket ↗	1.7 pp
Steve Bannon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.9% Bid 6.4% · Ask 6.9% Steve Bannon Open Kalshi ↗	7.8% Bid 7.1% · Ask 8.6% Steve Bannon Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Aimee Bock Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6% Aimee Bock Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andrew Tate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.9% Andrew Tate Open Polymarket ↗	—
Antoine Massey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.5% Antoine Massey Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bill Hwang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Bill Hwang Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Braden John Karony Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.0% Braden John Karony Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Charlie Javice Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Charlie Javice Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Daniel Penny Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.1% Daniel Penny Open Polymarket ↗	—
Diddy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.6% Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.0% Diddy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Do Kwon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.0% Do Kwon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Brodie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0% Donald Brodie Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.1% Donald Trump Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.3% Elon Musk Open Polymarket ↗	—
Himself Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.9% Himself Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hunter Biden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.6% Hunter Biden Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.7% Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.7% Jared Kushner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jho Low Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Jho Low Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joe Exotic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Joe Exotic Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Kiriakou Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% John Kiriakou Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Joseph Maldonado Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Joseph Maldonado Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Josh Wander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% Josh Wander Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kenneth Petty Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 2.6% · Ask 8.7% Kenneth Petty Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kimberly Guilfoyle Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0% Kimberly Guilfoyle Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Larry Householder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.0% Larry Householder Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Leonard Glenn Francis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0% Leonard Glenn Francis Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Matt Borges Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9% Matt Borges Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Matt Gaetz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Matt Gaetz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0% Michael Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicolas Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Nicolás Maduro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicolas Maduro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.9% Nicolas Maduro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nicole Daedone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Nicole Daedone Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Rachel Cherwitz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.8% · Ask 15.0% Rachel Cherwitz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Robin Smith Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.0% Robin Smith Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Roger Stone Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.3% Roger Stone Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryan Salame Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Ryan Salame Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sean Combs Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.4% · Ask 9.0% Sean Combs Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stefan Brodie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0% Stefan Brodie Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steve Buyer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Steve Buyer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tal Alexander Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.9% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.9% Tal Alexander Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tim Leissner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 4.4% · Ask 14.0% Tim Leissner Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Torence Hatch Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9% Torence Hatch Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Young Thug Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.9% Young Thug Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bob Menendez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 8.0%

Bob Menendez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.0%

Bob Menendez

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.8 pp

Derek Chauvin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.5%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.5%

Derek Chauvin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.8%

Derek Chauvin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Edward Snowden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Edward Snowden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 3.9%

Edward Snowden

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Elizabeth Holmes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.1%

Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.2%

Elizabeth Holmes

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.7%

Elizabeth Holmes

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Eric Adams

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.9%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 7.3%

Eric Adams

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.1%

Eric Adams

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Ghislaine Maxwell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 11.0%

Ghislaine Maxwell

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.9%

Ghislaine Maxwell

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.7 pp

Julian Assange

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.5%

Julian Assange

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.0%

Julian Assange

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Keonne Rodriguez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 14.0%

Keonne Rodriguez

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Keonne Rodriguez

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.2 pp

Martin Shkreli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.9%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 7.9%

Martin Shkreli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.4%

Martin Shkreli

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.7 pp

Roger Ver

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 7.4%

Roger Ver

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.5%

Roger Ver

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Sam Bankman-Fried

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Sam Bankman-Fried

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.8%

Sam Bankman-Fried

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Steve Bannon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 6.9%

Steve Bannon

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 8.6%

Steve Bannon

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Aimee Bock

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6%

Aimee Bock

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Andrew Tate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.9%

Andrew Tate

Open Polymarket ↗

Antoine Massey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.5%

Antoine Massey

Open Polymarket ↗

Bill Hwang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Bill Hwang

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Braden John Karony

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.0%

Braden John Karony

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Charlie Javice

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Charlie Javice

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Daniel Penny

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.1%

Daniel Penny

Open Polymarket ↗

Diddy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.0%

Diddy

Open Polymarket ↗

Do Kwon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.0%

Do Kwon

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Brodie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0%

Donald Brodie

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.3%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.1%

Donald Trump

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.3%

Elon Musk

Open Polymarket ↗

Himself

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.9%

Himself

Open Polymarket ↗

Hunter Biden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.6%

Hunter Biden

Open Polymarket ↗

Jared Kushner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.7%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 9.7%

Jared Kushner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jho Low

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Jho Low

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joe Exotic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Joe Exotic

Open Polymarket ↗

John Kiriakou

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

John Kiriakou

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Joseph Maldonado

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Joseph Maldonado

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Josh Wander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

Josh Wander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kenneth Petty

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 8.7%

Kenneth Petty

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kimberly Guilfoyle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0%

Kimberly Guilfoyle

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Larry Householder

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.0%

Larry Householder

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Leonard Glenn Francis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

Leonard Glenn Francis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Matt Borges

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9%

Matt Borges

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Matt Gaetz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Matt Gaetz

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael Cohen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 35.0%

Michael Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nicolas Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Nicolás Maduro

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nicolas Maduro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.9%

Nicolas Maduro

Open Polymarket ↗

Nicole Daedone

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Nicole Daedone

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rachel Cherwitz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 7.8% · Ask 15.0%

Rachel Cherwitz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Robin Smith

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 10.0%

Robin Smith

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Roger Stone

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.3%

Roger Stone

Open Polymarket ↗

Ryan Salame

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Ryan Salame

Open Polymarket ↗

Sean Combs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.4% · Ask 9.0%

Sean Combs

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stefan Brodie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 20.0%

Stefan Brodie

Open Polymarket ↗

Steve Buyer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Steve Buyer · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tal Alexander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.9%

Tal Alexander

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tim Leissner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 14.0%

Tim Leissner

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Torence Hatch

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.9%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.9%

Torence Hatch

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Young Thug

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.9%

Young Thug

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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