Market comparison

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

2 venues · 50 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $93K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

25 outcomes · $91K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Zohran Mamdani Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zohran / Mamdani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	41.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 54.0% Zohran Mamdani Open Polymarket ↗	57.5 pp
Aluminum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Aluminum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andy Burnham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Andy Burnham · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Antifa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0% Antifa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Autism Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Autism Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Barack Hussein Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Barack Hussein Obama · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Benjamin Netanyahu · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bryson DeChambeau Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% Bryson DeChambeau Open Polymarket ↗	—
Byron Donalds Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Byron Donalds · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ceasefire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ceasefire · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Claudia Sheinbaum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Claudia Sheinbaum · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cognitive Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Cognitive · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dana White Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Dana White · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dario Amodei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.9% Bid 5.1% · Ask 84.6% Dario Amodei Open Polymarket ↗	—
Deal / Settle / Settled Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Deal / Settle / Settled · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Delcy Rodriguez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 64.0% Delcy Rodriguez Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dividend / Stimulus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Dividend / Stimulus · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 90.4% · Ask 100.0% Elon Musk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Emmanuel Macron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 88.5% · Ask 99.2% Emmanuel Macron · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Epstein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Epstein Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fat shot / Ozempic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Fat shot / Ozempic Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Filibuster Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Filibuster · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Flávio Bolsonaro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.5% Bid 92.0% · Ask 95.0% Flávio Bolsonaro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gianni Infantino Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Gianni Infantino Open Polymarket ↗	—
Golden Dome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0% Golden Dome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greenland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Greenland · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Javier Milei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 32.0% Javier Milei Open Polymarket ↗	—
JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 95.3% · Ask 100.0% JD Vance · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jon Rahm Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 14.0% Jon Rahm Open Polymarket ↗	—
Karoline Leavitt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0% Karoline Leavitt · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kevin Warsh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Kevin Warsh · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kim Jong Un Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0% Kim Jong Un Open Polymarket ↗	—
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Open Polymarket ↗	—
Make Iran Great Again Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Make Iran Great Again Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mark Rutte Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 41.0% Mark Rutte Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Moon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Newscum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Newscum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nicki Minaj Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 96.1% · Ask 100.0% Nicki Minaj · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Peace in the Middle East Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Peace in the Middle East Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pelosi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pelosi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peptide Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0% Peptide Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Predict / Prediction Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Predict / Prediction Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Space Force Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Space Force · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Third Term Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Third Term · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% UFC · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0% UFO / UAP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 42.0% Volodymyr Zelenskyy Open Polymarket ↗	—
Warren Buffett Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Warren Buffett Open Polymarket ↗	—
Who are you with / Where are you from Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Who are you with / Where are you from · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Xi Jinping Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 97.2% · Ask 100.0% Xi Jinping · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Zohran Mamdani

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Zohran / Mamdani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

41.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 54.0%

Zohran Mamdani

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 57.5 pp

Aluminum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Aluminum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Andy Burnham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Andy Burnham · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Antifa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0%

Antifa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Autism

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Autism

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Barack Hussein Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Hussein Obama · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benjamin Netanyahu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Bryson DeChambeau

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0%

Bryson DeChambeau

Open Polymarket ↗

Byron Donalds

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Byron Donalds · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ceasefire · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Claudia Sheinbaum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Claudia Sheinbaum · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cognitive

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Cognitive · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dana White

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Dana White · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Dario Amodei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

44.9%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 84.6%

Dario Amodei

Open Polymarket ↗

Deal / Settle / Settled

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Deal / Settle / Settled · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Delcy Rodriguez

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 64.0%

Delcy Rodriguez

Open Polymarket ↗

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dividend / Stimulus · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 90.4% · Ask 100.0%

Elon Musk · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Emmanuel Macron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 88.5% · Ask 99.2%

Emmanuel Macron · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Epstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Epstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fat shot / Ozempic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Fat shot / Ozempic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Filibuster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Filibuster · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Flávio Bolsonaro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

93.5%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 95.0%

Flávio Bolsonaro

Open Polymarket ↗

Gianni Infantino

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

Gianni Infantino

Open Polymarket ↗

Golden Dome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 28.0%

Golden Dome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Javier Milei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 32.0%

Javier Milei

Open Polymarket ↗

JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 95.3% · Ask 100.0%

JD Vance · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Jon Rahm

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 14.0%

Jon Rahm

Open Polymarket ↗

Karoline Leavitt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 95.2% · Ask 100.0%

Karoline Leavitt · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kevin Warsh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Kevin Warsh · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kim Jong Un

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 24.0%

Kim Jong Un

Open Polymarket ↗

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Open Polymarket ↗

Make Iran Great Again

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Make Iran Great Again

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mark Rutte

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 41.0%

Mark Rutte

Open Polymarket ↗

Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Moon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Newscum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Newscum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nicki Minaj

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 100.0%

Nicki Minaj · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pelosi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pelosi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peptide

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

Peptide

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Predict / Prediction

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Predict / Prediction

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Space Force

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Space Force · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Third Term

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Third Term · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

UFC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0%

UFO / UAP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 42.0%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Open Polymarket ↗

Warren Buffett

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Warren Buffett

Open Polymarket ↗

Who are you with / Where are you from

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Who are you with / Where are you from · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Xi Jinping

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 97.2% · Ask 100.0%

Xi Jinping · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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