Market comparison

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

1 venue · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

15 outcomes · $631K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Andy Burnham Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Andy Burnham · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
António Costa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% António Costa · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
António Guterres Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% António Guterres Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9% Donald Trump Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donald Tusk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Donald Tusk · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Emmanuel Macron Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Emmanuel Macron Open Polymarket ↗	—
Friedrich Merz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Friedrich Merz · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jared Kushner Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Jared Kushner · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
JD Vance Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.8% JD Vance Open Polymarket ↗	—
Keith Kellogg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Keith Kellogg · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Maia Sandu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Maia Sandu · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mark Carney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Mark Carney Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mark Rutte Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 61.0% Mark Rutte Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steve Witkoff Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Steve Witkoff · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ursula von der Leyen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 78.0% Ursula von der Leyen Open Polymarket ↗	—

Andy Burnham

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Andy Burnham · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

António Costa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

António Costa · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

António Guterres

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

António Guterres

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9%

Donald Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Donald Tusk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Donald Tusk · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Emmanuel Macron

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Emmanuel Macron

Open Polymarket ↗

Friedrich Merz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Friedrich Merz · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Jared Kushner

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Jared Kushner · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

JD Vance

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.8%

JD Vance

Open Polymarket ↗

Keith Kellogg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Keith Kellogg · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Maia Sandu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Maia Sandu · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Mark Carney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0%

Mark Carney

Open Polymarket ↗

Mark Rutte

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 61.0%

Mark Rutte

Open Polymarket ↗

Steve Witkoff

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Steve Witkoff · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ursula von der Leyen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

66.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 78.0%

Ursula von der Leyen

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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