The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Who will win the 2026 Welsh Parliament election?

1 venue · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

6 outcomes · $69K reported volume

Observed 3874h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 7, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Conservative

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Conservative · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Green

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Green · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Labour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Labour · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Liberal Democrats

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Liberal Democrats · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Plaid Cymru

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Plaid Cymru · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Reform

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Reform · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.