Market comparison

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

10 outcomes · $81K reported volume

Observed 3016h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Aleksandr Logunov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Aleksandr Logunov · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Alexander Efimov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Alexander Efimov · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hong Wang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Hong Wang · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jack Thorne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.9%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Jack Thorne · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jacob Tsimerman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Jacob Tsimerman · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
John Pardon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.6%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old John Pardon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Julian Sahasrabudhe Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.6%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Julian Sahasrabudhe · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sam Raskin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sam Raskin · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yes · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yu Deng Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.7%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yu Deng · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Aleksandr Logunov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

24.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Aleksandr Logunov · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Alexander Efimov

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Alexander Efimov · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Hong Wang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Hong Wang · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jack Thorne

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Jack Thorne · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jacob Tsimerman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Jacob Tsimerman · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

John Pardon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

55.6%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

John Pardon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.6%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Julian Sahasrabudhe · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sam Raskin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sam Raskin · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yes · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yu Deng

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.7%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yu Deng · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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