Market comparison

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?

1 venue · 50 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

50 outcomes · $5.7M reported volume

Observed 74h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Aaja Chemnitz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Aaja Chemnitz · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
António Guterres Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old António Guterres · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Campaign to Stop Killer Robots Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Campaign to Stop Killer Robots · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chow Hang-tung Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Chow Hang-tung · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Committee to Protect Journalists Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Committee to Protect Journalists · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Concordis International Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Concordis International · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Daria Egereva Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Daria Egereva · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dario Amodei Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Dario Amodei · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Attenborough Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old David Attenborough · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Doctors Without Borders Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Doctors Without Borders · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Donald Trump Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Donald Trump · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elon Musk Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Elon Musk · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
European Union Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old European Union · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Francesca Albanese Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Francesca Albanese · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Greta Thunberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Greta Thunberg · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hussam Abu Safiya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Hussam Abu Safiya · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ilham Tohti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Ilham Tohti · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
International Association of Judges (IAJ) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old International Association of Judges (IAJ) · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
International Court of Justice (ICJ) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old International Court of Justice (ICJ) · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
International Criminal Court Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old International Criminal Court · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
International Peace Research Association (IPRA) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old International Peace Research Association (IPRA) · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
International Space Station / ISS partnership Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old International Space Station / ISS partnership · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jimmy Lai Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Jimmy Lai · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Julian Assange Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Julian Assange · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mark Carney Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Mark Carney · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Matt Meyer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Matt Meyer · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Minneapolis Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Minneapolis · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Narges Mohammadi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Narges Mohammadi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Parents Circle – Families Forum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Parents Circle – Families Forum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pope Leo XIV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Pope Leo XIV · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Reporters Without Borders (RSF) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Reporters Without Borders (RSF) · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sam Altman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sam Altman · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sara Al-Saqqa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sara Al-Saqqa · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Save the Children Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Save the Children · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shehbaz Sharif Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Shehbaz Sharif · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Svalbard Global Seed Vault Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Svalbard Global Seed Vault · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
UNHCR Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old UNHCR · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
UNRWA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old UNRWA · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vanessa Nakate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Vanessa Nakate · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Volodymyr Zelenskyy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
World Central Kitchen / José Andrés Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old World Central Kitchen / José Andrés · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
World Trade Organization Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old World Trade Organization · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yad Vashem Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yad Vashem · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yulia Navalnaya Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yulia Navalnaya · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Aaja Chemnitz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Aaja Chemnitz · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

António Guterres

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.7%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

António Guterres · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Campaign to Stop Killer Robots

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Campaign to Stop Killer Robots · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Chow Hang-tung

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Chow Hang-tung · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Committee to Protect Journalists

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Committee to Protect Journalists · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Concordis International

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Concordis International · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Daria Egereva

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Daria Egereva · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Dario Amodei

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Dario Amodei · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

David Attenborough

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

David Attenborough · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Doctors Without Borders

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Doctors Without Borders · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Donald Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Donald Trump · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Elon Musk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Elon Musk · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

European Union

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

European Union · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Francesca Albanese

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Francesca Albanese · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Greta Thunberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Greta Thunberg · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Hussam Abu Safiya

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Hussam Abu Safiya · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Ilham Tohti

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Ilham Tohti · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

International Association of Judges (IAJ)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

International Association of Judges (IAJ) · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

International Court of Justice (ICJ)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

International Court of Justice (ICJ) · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

International Criminal Court

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

International Criminal Court · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

International Peace Research Association (IPRA)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

International Peace Research Association (IPRA) · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

International Space Station / ISS partnership

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

International Space Station / ISS partnership · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Jimmy Lai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.8%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Jimmy Lai · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Julian Assange

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Julian Assange · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Mark Carney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Mark Carney · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Matt Meyer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Matt Meyer · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Minneapolis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Minneapolis · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Narges Mohammadi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Narges Mohammadi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Parents Circle – Families Forum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Parents Circle – Families Forum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Pope Leo XIV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Pope Leo XIV · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Reporters Without Borders (RSF)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Reporters Without Borders (RSF) · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sam Altman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sam Altman · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sara Al-Saqqa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sara Al-Saqqa · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Save the Children

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Save the Children · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Shehbaz Sharif

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Shehbaz Sharif · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Svalbard Global Seed Vault

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.2%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Svalbard Global Seed Vault · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.4%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

UNHCR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

UNHCR · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

UNRWA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

UNRWA · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Vanessa Nakate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.7%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Vanessa Nakate · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Volodymyr Zelenskyy · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

World Central Kitchen / José Andrés

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

World Central Kitchen / José Andrés · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

World Trade Organization

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.3%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

World Trade Organization · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yad Vashem

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

0.1%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yad Vashem · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Yulia Navalnaya

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yulia Navalnaya · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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