Market comparison

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

4 outcomes · $377K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate Open Polymarket ↗	—
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate Open Polymarket ↗	—
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.7% Bid 67.8% · Ask 69.5% No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate Open Polymarket ↗	—
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 29.7% · Ask 30.4% No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate Open Polymarket ↗	—

Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate

Open Polymarket ↗

Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate

Open Polymarket ↗

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.7%

Bid 67.8% · Ask 69.5%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

Open Polymarket ↗

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 29.7% · Ask 30.4%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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