Market comparison

WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cooke, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Cooke, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0% Cooke, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 34.0% Cooke, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 8.4% · Ask 19.0% Cooke, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0% Cooke, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cooke, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.2% Cooke, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.8% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.5% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.7% Bid 14.1% · Ask 15.3% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.4% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 18.3% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 11.0% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cooke, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Cooke, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 54.0%

Cooke, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 34.0%

Cooke, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 8.4% · Ask 19.0%

Cooke, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0%

Cooke, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cooke, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.2%

Cooke, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.5%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.7%

Bid 14.1% · Ask 15.3%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.4%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.3%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 18.3%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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