Market comparison

WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Grothman, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.3% Bid 85.0% · Ask 92.8% Grothman, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0% Grothman, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 74.0% Grothman, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Grothman, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0% Grothman, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Grothman, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Grothman, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 2.5% · Ask 14.0% Grothman, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Grothman, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 9.5% Grothman, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.1% · Ask 12.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 36.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.4% Bid 5.1% · Ask 9.7% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.8% Bid 15.9% · Ask 23.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 16.4% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.9% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Grothman, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.3%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 92.8%

Grothman, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 87.0%

Grothman, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 74.0%

Grothman, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Grothman, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 46.0%

Grothman, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Grothman, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Grothman, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 14.0%

Grothman, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Grothman, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 9.5%

Grothman, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 12.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 36.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 9.7%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.8%

Bid 15.9% · Ask 23.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 16.4%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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