Market comparison

WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.4% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.1% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.9% Bid 9.8% · Ask 16.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.2% Bid 14.6% · Ask 15.8% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 2.7% · Ask 11.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 6.3% · Ask 10.4% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wied, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.1% Wied, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0% Wied, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Wied, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0% Wied, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0% Wied, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.2% Bid 9.3% · Ask 21.0% Wied, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Wied, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wied, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.6% Wied, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.4%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 6.1%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.9%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.2%

Bid 14.6% · Ask 15.8%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 11.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 10.4%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wied, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.1%

Wied, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 82.0%

Wied, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Wied, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 50.0%

Wied, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 34.0%

Wied, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.2%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 21.0%

Wied, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Wied, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Wied, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.6%

Wied, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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