Market comparison

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

4 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Before 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0% Before 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before 2029 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0% Before 2029 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before 2030 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 71.0% Before 2030 Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 45.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 65.0%

Before 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Before 2030

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 71.0%

Before 2030

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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