The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1.5M reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 2m ago

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

2 outcomes · $60K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

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Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

22.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 23.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

9.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

December 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0%

December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 65.0%

December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0%

December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

0.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.