Market comparison

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

1 venue · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

3 outcomes · $132K reported volume

Observed 3874h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Apr 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old June 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old May 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Yes · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

June 30

Open Polymarket ↗

May 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

May 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Yes · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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