Market comparison

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?

1 venue · 1 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

1 outcomes · $90K reported volume

Observed 3012h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Before 2027 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Before 2027 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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