Market comparison
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
2 venues · 1 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $352K reported volume
Observed 3m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $18K reported volume
Observed 34s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.0 pp |
Yes
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.0 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.