The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will China obtain an EUV machine?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2030

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 35.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2029

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 59.0%

Before Jan 1, 2029

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2030

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 74.0%

Before Jan 1, 2030

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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