Market comparison

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $50K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $13K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jan 1, 2028 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 50.0% Before Jan 1, 2028 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0% December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 19.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
September 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jan 1, 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 50.0%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 19.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

September 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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