Market comparison

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

5 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 3812h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
0-2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 0-2 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
3-5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 3-5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
6-8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.9%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 6-8 Open Polymarket ↗	—
9-11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 9-11 Open Polymarket ↗	—
12+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.5%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 12+ Open Polymarket ↗	—

0-2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

0-2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

3-5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

3-5

Open Polymarket ↗

6-8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

6-8

Open Polymarket ↗

9-11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

9-11

Open Polymarket ↗

12+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

12+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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