The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

76.3%

Bid 74.8% · Ask 77.8%

<5

Open Polymarket ↗

5-7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

5-7

Open Polymarket ↗

8-10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

8-10

Open Polymarket ↗

11-13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

11-13

Open Polymarket ↗

14+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

14+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets