Market comparison

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?

1 venue · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

3 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.5% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Dec 1, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0% Before Dec 1, 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 94.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Dec 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 94.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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