Market comparison
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
2 venues · 1 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $14K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 18, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $4K reported volume
Observed 8m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 18, 2026
Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.
Known rule differences between venues
- Kalshi resolves on the release actually moving past a date; Polymarket on an official announcement of a later release date before its deadline. A late-announced delay can split them.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.7 pp |
Yes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.7 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.