Market comparison
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2 venues · 1 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $3.6M reported volume
Observed 59s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $3.2M reported volume
Observed 4m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.
Known rule differences between venues
- Kalshi resolves on the acquirer announcing an agreement; Polymarket on an official announcement that the target will be acquired by or merged with the acquirer. A merger framed the other way round can split them.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp |
Yes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.