Market comparison

Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?

2 venues · 11 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $172K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 13, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $151K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
3.00-3.49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% 3.00-3.49% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% <3.00% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.50-3.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.3% 3.50-3.99% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.00-4.49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.7% 4.00-4.49% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.50-4.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.5% · Ask 12.4% 4.50-4.99% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.00-5.49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.4% Bid 71.2% · Ask 73.5% 5.00-5.49% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.50-5.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.9% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.7% 5.50-5.99% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.00-6.49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.1% 6.00-6.49% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
6.50-6.99% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 6.50-6.99% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
7.00%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6% 7.00%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
In Dec 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% In Dec 2026 Open Kalshi ↗	—

3.00-3.49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

3.00-3.49%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

<3.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.50-3.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

3.50-3.99%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.00-4.49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.7%

4.00-4.49%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.50-4.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.5% · Ask 12.4%

4.50-4.99%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.00-5.49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

72.4%

Bid 71.2% · Ask 73.5%

5.00-5.49%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.50-5.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.9%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.7%

5.50-5.99%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.00-6.49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.1%

6.00-6.49%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

6.50-6.99%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

6.50-6.99%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

7.00%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6%

7.00%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

In Dec 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

In Dec 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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