The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

2 venues · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $768K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $49K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

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Kalshi

6.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.9%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.8%

Before Jul 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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