The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $343K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $195K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.9%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

8.5%

Bid 8.1% · Ask 15.0%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before 2028

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 16.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

47.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 56.0%

Before 2028

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before September 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before September 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 4.4%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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