Market comparison

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics?

2 venues · 11 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $4.4M reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 3m ago

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Jan 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Before Jan 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0% December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
February 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% February 28 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
July 15 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% July 15 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗ 13.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 18.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
March 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% March 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 30, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yes Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0% Yes Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

February 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

February 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

July 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

July 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 18.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

March 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

March 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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