The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Netanyahu be arrested?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $119K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $31K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 7.7%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

September 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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