The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

1 venue · 2 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

2 outcomes · $422K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2040

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Anthropic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0%

Anthropic

Open Kalshi ↗

OpenAI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

OpenAI

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.