Market comparison

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

1 venue · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

19 outcomes · $1.3M reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
1.0T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑$1.0T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.3T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0% ↑$1.3T Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.4T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 84.0% ↑$1.4T Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.5T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% ↑$1.5T Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.25T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.4% Bid 99.3% · Ask 99.4% ↑$1.25T Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.35T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 88.0% ↑$1.35T Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.45T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 60.0% ↑$1.45T Open Polymarket ↗	—
1.75T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 6.5% · Ask 6.6% ↑$1.75T Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.0T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.5% · Ask 6.8% ↑$2.0T Open Polymarket ↗	—
2.5T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.0% ↑$2.5T Open Polymarket ↗	—
3.0T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.8% ↑$3.0T Open Polymarket ↗	—
4.0T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.6% ↑$4.0T Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.0T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.0% ↑$5.0T Open Polymarket ↗	—
500B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.9% ↓$500B Open Polymarket ↗	—
600B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.4% ↓$600B Open Polymarket ↗	—
700B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.5% ↓$700B Open Polymarket ↗	—
750B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% ↓$750B Open Polymarket ↗	—
800B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% ↓$800B Open Polymarket ↗	—
900B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑$900B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

1.0T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑$1.0T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

1.3T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

82.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 84.0%

↑$1.3T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 84.0%

↑$1.4T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.5T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

↑$1.5T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.25T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

99.4%

Bid 99.3% · Ask 99.4%

↑$1.25T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.35T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 88.0%

↑$1.35T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.45T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 60.0%

↑$1.45T

Open Polymarket ↗

1.75T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 6.5% · Ask 6.6%

↑$1.75T

Open Polymarket ↗

2.0T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 6.8%

↑$2.0T

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.0%

↑$2.5T

Open Polymarket ↗

3.0T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 2.8%

↑$3.0T

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.6%

↑$4.0T

Open Polymarket ↗

5.0T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.0%

↑$5.0T

Open Polymarket ↗

500B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.9%

↓$500B

Open Polymarket ↗

600B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.4%

↓$600B

Open Polymarket ↗

700B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.5%

↓$700B

Open Polymarket ↗

750B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

↓$750B

Open Polymarket ↗

800B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

↓$800B

Open Polymarket ↗

900B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑$900B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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