Market comparison

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $175K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Before Apr 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 56.0% Before Apr 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before Jul 1, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0% Before Jul 1, 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
December 31, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 5.9% · Ask 7.2% December 31, 2026 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 30, 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% June 30, 2026 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
March 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0% March 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Before Apr 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 56.0%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 68.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 5.9% · Ask 7.2%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June 30, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.5%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

March 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 47.0%

March 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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