The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

2 venues · 1 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $12.5M reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

1 outcomes · $2.1M reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Yes

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 2.6%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

3.6%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.0%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 5.6%

Yes

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.