The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $477K reported volume

Observed 3823h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

20+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

20+

Open Polymarket ↗

40+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

40+

Open Polymarket ↗

60+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

60+

Open Polymarket ↗

80+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

80+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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