The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

1 venue · 5 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

10+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 49.0%

10+

Open Polymarket ↗

20+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

20+

Open Polymarket ↗

30+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 7.9%

30+

Open Polymarket ↗

40+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.5%

40+

Open Polymarket ↗

50+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 9.9%

50+

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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