Market comparison
Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
2 venues · 1 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $3K reported volume
Observed 3m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗1 outcomes · $2K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027
Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.
Known rule differences between venues
- Kalshi resolves on the release actually moving past a date; Polymarket on an official announcement of a later release date before its deadline. A late-announced delay can split them.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Yes Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 6.5 pp |
Yes
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.5 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.