The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?

1 venue · 4 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

4 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Before Jan 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Before Jul 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Jul 1, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 42.0%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.